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ameya Member
Joined: 09 May 2007 Posts: 3671 Location: Pune,Maharashtra
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Posted: Tue Aug 12, 2014 3:09 pm Post subject: Thoughts on IndiGO & Air Asia Network |
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I am linking my blog here, since I added another post
Follow up on how Air Asia can avoid IndiGos onslaught
Last week I wrote how IndiGo is going all out to take on Air Asia India. Yes it is right, that competition has to be contained at early stages and some bit of sentimental expansion like announcing a Bengaluru Chandigarh but tagging along Srinagar to make it more successful makes a lot of sense.
Over the weekend, I thought more on this, and some interesting facts came up. When Air Asia India launches its second rotation, it would do 16 flights a day with its 2 aircraft and would deploy 2880 seats in the market, while IndiGo with its roughly 516 daily flights, deploys 92880 seats. So 2 bad flights for Air Asia means 12.5% of their capacity for the day is sold on lower yields or thats not sold as per expectation, while for IndiGo it means just 0.38% !!
What next Will Air Asia start the battle and mount a second daily to Chandigarh? And if that is followed by IndiGo? Too bad, it would still mean, not more than 1% of capacity of IndiGo, while it could mean a lot more for Air Asia India. _________________ www.networkthoughts.com
Last edited by ameya on Tue Aug 12, 2014 3:56 pm; edited 2 times in total |
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Nimish Member
Joined: 16 Dec 2006 Posts: 9757 Location: Bangalore, India
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Posted: Tue Aug 12, 2014 3:44 pm Post subject: Re: Thoughts on IndiGO & Air Asia Network |
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Can you add an extract (or even full content) of each blog along with the hyperlink? _________________ We miss you Nalini! |
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ameya Member
Joined: 09 May 2007 Posts: 3671 Location: Pune,Maharashtra
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Posted: Tue Aug 12, 2014 3:57 pm Post subject: |
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The launch of BLR-IXC by 6E in response to AAI
For last few days, I was itching to get back to Network Planning a hobby I have pursued for over 15 years now, and started in the days when I would ask anybody flying around mostly my father, to get the printed schedule of the airline and then break it down into rotations, aircraft by aircraft. It also was a great way to kill time on the flights whenever I traveled then.
The advent of technology, my stint in Network Planning with Kingfisher and later with Go Air, only increased my knowledge, understanding and interest. While today, I work in the transportation gamut as a whole, the hobby continues.
The itch stopped yesterday, as IndiGo announced a non-stop service on Bengaluru Chandigarh route, because I think the expansion and capacity induction for the next year or so will be sentimental and not based on analysis, traffic patterns and sustainable growth. Nonetheless, as an avid Network Planning enthusiast, I have the best seat on the fence , to see how things turn up.
As tweets started trickling in about IndiGos pullout from Delhi Bangkok sector (I think IndiGo has not yet confirmed this but flights are not open for sale), I checked the timings of those flights and realized that one aircraft would be free, which I was sure, would be deployed on domestic routes, and wrote about this on my blog post
IndiGo yesterday opened up reservation on Bengaluru Chandigarh non-stop service effective 1st September. The entire rotation is designed to take on Air Asia.
6E498 BLR0630 0745GOI D (Eff. 3rd Sept)
6E499 GOI0815 0930BLR D (Eff. 3rd Sept)
6E477 BLR1000 1255IXC D (Eff. 1st Sept)
6E477 IXC1325 1425SXR D (Eff. 1st Sept)
6E478 SXR1455 1555IXC D (Eff. 1st Sept)
6E478 IXC1625 1930BLR D (Eff. 1st Sept)
6E561 BLR2000 2110TRV D (Eff. 1st Sept)
6E562 TRV2140 2250BLR D (Eff. 1st Sept)
Am I reading too much or is Trivandrum the next destination for Air Asia?
Jet Airways and the least expected Air India, have jumped into this game of capacity and frequency with Jet Airways, currently 3x Daily on Bengaluru Kochi, will be 5x Daily. The afternoon frequency will operate on all days except Tuesday owning to closure in Bengaluru.
Jet Airways flights are effective 11thAugust and Air India, will have additional utilization of their ATR-42 based in Bengaluru, effective 1st September.
The flight count on this sector is now 13 each way, which obviously changes depending on day of the week. For a random check which I did while writing this piece, Air Asia flights were available for Rs.990/- each way for September first week, cheaper than the Volvo between the two cities and if Air Asia can break even by December at these fares, I wonder how their financials and aircraft leases are structured!
Only sane news which has come in the last week is that of Air India increasing frequency on the Amritsar Delhi Birmingham route to Daily from its current 4x weekly. Glad to know how Delhi as a hub is working for Air India and how B787 DreamLiner is turning a new page and opening up new routes which are successful
As for the domestic scenario The player with deeper pockets will win again and the consumer will be the winner, sadly only the consumer based on Bengaluru seems to be the winner right now. What more, the over all winner could well be Spicejet, who has so far not shown any inclination to jump in this battle and is busy consolidating its position and salvaging its situation in the market. _________________ www.networkthoughts.com |
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Nimish Member
Joined: 16 Dec 2006 Posts: 9757 Location: Bangalore, India
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2014 5:30 pm Post subject: |
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The only thing interesting out of this seems to be an unintended IXC-TRV on 6E . Certainly good news for the defense folks based around IXC from South Kerala!
I wonder how much traffic an early morning BLR-GOI routing has - for either I5 or 6E? _________________ We miss you Nalini! |
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justbala Member
Joined: 11 Jan 2007 Posts: 1898 Location: Bangalore
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Posted: Sat Aug 16, 2014 5:00 pm Post subject: |
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Nimish wrote: | The only thing interesting out of this seems to be an unintended IXC-TRV on 6E . Certainly good news for the defense folks based around IXC from South Kerala!
I wonder how much traffic an early morning BLR-GOI routing has - for either I5 or 6E? |
9W-K used to fly IXC-DEL-BLR-TRV (now it does DED-DEL-BLR-TRV on 9W mainline) |
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ameya Member
Joined: 09 May 2007 Posts: 3671 Location: Pune,Maharashtra
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Posted: Tue Aug 19, 2014 10:01 am Post subject: |
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Nimish wrote: | The only thing interesting out of this seems to be an unintended IXC-TRV on 6E . Certainly good news for the defense folks based around IXC from South Kerala!
I wonder how much traffic an early morning BLR-GOI routing has - for either I5 or 6E? |
IT used to do well with ATRs but well during season only. Inherently, BOM has a lot more traffic to GOI and can sustain morning flights, with 2 A320s back to back, either a lot of Bengaluru people are going to head to Goa or its a big loss _________________ www.networkthoughts.com |
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The_Goat Member
Joined: 03 Mar 2007 Posts: 3260 Location: South of France
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Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2014 4:19 pm Post subject: |
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ameya wrote: |
IndiGo yesterday opened up reservation on Bengaluru Chandigarh non-stop service effective 1st September. The entire rotation is designed to take on Air Asia.
Jet Airways and the least expected Air India, have jumped into this game of capacity and frequency with Jet Airways, currently 3x Daily on Bengaluru
Kochi, will be 5x Daily.. |
The idiot Indian carriers like SG, 9W, AI, 6E can't think out of the box, but will readily copy other people's ideas, and everyone gets scr**ed up in the process.
These fools should be running dharamshalas and not airlines. _________________ I don't know which is the more pampered bunch : AI's widebodies (the aunties) or Jet's widebodies (the planes).
-Jasepl |
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sumantra Member
Joined: 28 Oct 2007 Posts: 4685 Location: New Delhi
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Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2014 4:30 pm Post subject: |
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The_Goat wrote: | These fools should be running dharamshalas and not airlines. | Completely out of the point, but yes, some of them do run services to Dharamshala (including Air India), and make money out of it, too
Cheers, Sumantra. |
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sumantra Member
Joined: 28 Oct 2007 Posts: 4685 Location: New Delhi
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Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2014 4:32 pm Post subject: |
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Ameya Sir, it was a pleasure to go through this write-up. It was not just the analysis, you have written it in a gripping manner, right from your introduction as to how you got interested in network planning. Beautiful!
Cheers, Sumantra. |
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ameya Member
Joined: 09 May 2007 Posts: 3671 Location: Pune,Maharashtra
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Posted: Fri Sep 05, 2014 7:08 pm Post subject: |
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The_Goat wrote: | ameya wrote: |
IndiGo yesterday opened up reservation on Bengaluru Chandigarh non-stop service effective 1st September. The entire rotation is designed to take on Air Asia.
Jet Airways and the least expected Air India, have jumped into this game of capacity and frequency with Jet Airways, currently 3x Daily on Bengaluru
Kochi, will be 5x Daily.. |
The idiot Indian carriers like SG, 9W, AI, 6E can't think out of the box, but will readily copy other people's ideas, and everyone gets scr**ed up in the process.
These fools should be running dharamshalas and not airlines. |
Yes. There is no thought which gets into planning the routes. The routes need to be strong and that applies from EK to AIr pegasus. Its only then can you have your marketing onslaught and fill up seats _________________ www.networkthoughts.com |
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ameya Member
Joined: 09 May 2007 Posts: 3671 Location: Pune,Maharashtra
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Posted: Fri Sep 05, 2014 7:09 pm Post subject: |
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sumantra wrote: | Ameya Sir, it was a pleasure to go through this write-up. It was not just the analysis, you have written it in a gripping manner, right from your introduction as to how you got interested in network planning. Beautiful!
Cheers, Sumantra. |
Thanks. You wrote on the day, I5 launched their IXC and JAI flights ! _________________ www.networkthoughts.com |
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